Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Clear away the Smoke & Mirrors, MOPE, Shills & MSN NewsRats and GET THIS PICTURE

            FYI a much clearer view of this is over at  with the accompanying video touching on a lot of things we know in our gut but needed some objective confirmation to feel
validated with this knowledge that you can actually see the "Smart Money" coming in from below to feed off the uninformed selling caused by this "Full-Court Press" that TPTB is doing thru MSM, because they have no other options to use to try to hold back the PM Complex market specifically Gold Stocks, perhaps because they want no competition or "distraction" from the circus of the General Stock Markets.

   For those pre-ordering their FREE e-Book version of Gary Christenson's new book, "GOLD VALUES and GOLD PRICES", with their PEAK PICKS Subscription, we anticipate the e-Vouchers will be available shortly, like next week, we think.  You can check over on Gary's site, and also read around some info as well.

   BOTTOM LINE to go with the above chart>:  Smart Money is eating lunch at the expense of discouraged investors who take the "News" as reality.  In fact, the move in the GDX, like all other PM Complex issues, while not assured, is looking a lot more real than the shill inspired screaming about $800 gold.   Smart Money, IMO is putting its money where its Intell is, and that is, that the pressure on this entire PM Complex is to the upside, not downside.   Lots more info and a Free e-Version of "GOLD VALUE and GOLD PRICES", with a PEAK PICKS subscription, exclusively in addition to the Gold Miner Index Breadth Oscillator, GIMBO, at Denaliguide's Peak Picks subscription.

  In our minds, no mistake about it, GDX and the PM Complex are going to move positively in spite of all opposition.  We will be tracking it for subscribers when it does.

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

DISTRACTION by the Smoke & Mirrors of MSM shills and News Rats.

Who were there, amongst the down stocks today with the largest $$ inflows?

Well #2 was GDX, remember them ?  Up 20% since their rally started and consolidating WITHOUT a correction.  hmmm.

Now whom else was on that list ?  Well not all Gold Miners for sure, but these were the ones that made the WSJ List for today......... In order of $$ inflow:

GG, NEM, SCCO, ABX, SLV, HL.   Wow, seems the Smart Money under the smokescreen provided by the MSN News Rats, are loading up the truck !!


Friday, August 22, 2014

A look at Gary Christenson's new book, "GOLD VALUES and GOLD PRICES". FREE e-Book with your Subscription !!

Gary's book gives us both a great starting point and a lot of insights, and it will be available FREE in an E-Book with a subscription to PEAK PICKS, please see our sidebar.
The current offer is limited time and limited to US Residents.  Non-US Residents can contact me directly and I make arrangements for them as well.

Upon publication the E-Book with me U$D 7.95, and the Hard Copy will be U$D 12.95 + shipping to your local address.
                                                       Inline image 1

Introduction – Why we need a model
 Part 1
 The Gold Empirical Model – a GEM

1.       Experts who don’t agree
2.       Gold prices – the last 42 years
3.       We need a model
4.       The model uses macro-economic variables
5.       The empirical formula used in the model
6.       Results from the model
7.       Gold prices projected into the future
8.       Gold prices are managed and manipulated
9.       Is $10,000 gold possible?  What would be necessary?
10.     Gold market cycles
11.     Gold ratios to the Dow, silver, and crude oil
12.     Gold – the big picture

Gold Value and Gold Prices From 1971 – 2021
An Empirical Model
By Gary Christenson

What is an appropriate exchange rate for gold in 2015 when priced in US dollars? What will be the appropriate exchange rate when priced in Euros in 2017?

We don’t know.

Worse, a number of highly intelligent and recognized experts often can’t even agree whether gold will be priced higher or lower in three years.

Given that major disagreement among experts, who and what should an investor believe regarding the exchange of steadily devaluing dollars, euros, pounds and yen for the purchase of gold?

My solution was to create an empirical model based on several macro-economic variables, not including the price of gold. The goal of the model was to accurately replicate the smoothed price of gold as calculated with a twice smoothed moving average of monthly closing prices since 1971.

The model performed well – specifically it had a 0.98 statistical correlation with the actual smoothed market price of gold in US dollars between 1971 and 2013. The resulting graph of calculated gold prices rose from about $30 in 1971 to about $500 in 1980 - 84, down to under $300 in 1999 - 2001, and then up to about $1,500 in 2013.

Currently the model shows that gold, selling for about $1,300, is undervalued and therefore likely to move higher in coming years.

But how much higher?
The book discusses reasonable projections based on the estimated change in the model’s inputs from macro-economic variables and then calculates reasonable or “fair” values for gold through the year 2021.

Of course the price of gold will rise above and fall below the calculated “fair” value during the next several years, but knowing the “fair” value will help people evaluate whether or not the market price of gold is over or under valued at any particular time.


The model indicated that the market price of gold at its peak in August 2011 was 30% higher than the “fair” price.

Similarly, the market price of gold in December 2013 was 26% below its “fair” price.

This “fair” value information would have been particularly valuable to those who were considering purchases of gold in August 2011 or selling their gold in December 2013.

The model accurately replicated, on average, the smoothed price of gold for over 40 years. Furthermore the model was robust. Since 1971 the world has experienced stock market booms and busts, bond market bull and bear markets, “shock and awe,” occasional peace, the inflationary 1970s, the stock market booms of the 1990s, the devastation of 9-11 and subsequent wars, a housing crash, and a global financial crash in 2008. The model created accurate “fair” value estimates for the price of gold during all those market extremes.

The book is divided into three parts.

Part one explores the need for an empirical model, examines monthly gold prices since 1971, smoothed annual gold prices, the macro-economic variables used in the model, the actual formula that replicates smoothed gold prices, and future gold prices as projected by the model.

It also discusses gold cycles, various ratios, and shows how those cycles and ratios support the price projections indicated by the model.

Now so far this is a fun post, so let me make it more fun.........
 Here based on some of my insights from the book, is an interesting
Chart to measure some movement of Gold and its Cycles

I'd recommend the book to anyone who wants to take the time to get a better handle on what is going on under the surface, out in the larger world with regard to gold.  That's my take.

Monday, August 18, 2014

Fun's Fun but 43 Days + 43 Nites ? Here are some results to compare:...

This is from one of our both reliable and reproducible methods   Most instances work but some won't which is why we use stops.   Judge for yourself.   The issues these were featured are available.
 Here we were observing EGY getting twitchy and RECO'd it slightly before it jumped

 Laramide spent a fair amount of time, setting up, and giving some heartburn, but true to form, it set up @ C$ 0.40, took its time, and made its move.

Today Laramide shows how this one particular method can shine with patience.

Now to be sure, lets show this can be done with an ETF, such as Copper Miners,
 Lets start with this Copper Miners Global ETF, COPX, and see it spring up as of Mid-December, as we tracked it.
    Now tracking it with a slightly different scale chart, we see the results.

Bottom Line, a number of stocks leave tracks we follow.  We like them, you will as well, to profit.  Any reason to wait for these kinds of results??

Truthfully, the story below I found illustrative, but the results above may also speak to you, and if so, well then Subscribe Now !!  Click here and see what its like to have NO BOX to have to think out side of !!  Subscribe to Peak Picks  

 And now onto the story -

The Faith of Noah
The Patience of JOB


  Does not get the best of us

AND like SQUIRREL, we do not let our EXPECTATIONS cause us Misery, even if we want the Acorn ALOT.
And since every last bit of MSM proganda and sentiment, even from gold bugs is without one bullish shred of hope, I don`t need to say much, but I leave  you with this part of the message from a very brave lady who is one of my inspirations:  Aung Kyi from Burma -

AND last to keep YOU sane, to take care of yourself, you MUST have both

  Patience AND a good attitude, makes winning so much more fun.......

    So what is the real ending here, what is the take-away from this little
`` Show & Tell  ``  thing ...........

Sometimes stuff is just so self evident and right it becomes wallpaper, and forgotten about.  The Straits of Hell were created as a Gap that Could NOT be closed, as a result of the Hammers of Hell being taken to the KRIMEX and cleaning out all the bids in the place down to the hardwood floors.  No one has been able to close that gap since April 2013.   There is an Abandoned Baby formation almost 16 months long, a Deep Inverted Head & Shoulders and a Triple Bottom in place, not to mention a bunch of other formations still In-Good-Standing, still valid and not breached.  I will not be looking into the Barrel of that one when it goes off.

   Can I add this chart.....
  We know where this can go, structurally, and seemingly does not want to stay down.

How about a chart of the most sensitive stocks out there, The Venture Exchange:

    So I keep reading about how dreadful things are in the Precious Metals Space by all the supposed Guru`s and Talking Heads and none of it matches what I see.

   Here is a longer term look - Does it look Awful to you.......maybe upside down but from here it looks to be eating its upside resistance for breakfast, lunch and dinner............

   So my picture story SHOW & TELL has  6 Graphic Images to make the point.

So far I have offered merely 4 graphs to make my point.  And I am on Page 1 of the charts in my PEAK PICKS LIST.  It has 9 pages of 10 Charts each, not all perfectly bullish but  supporting this changing PM Market.  There are 10 Chart Tables in this category, by far the biggest in my album but again, supporting this change in the PM Space.

   Subscribe to Peak Picks and see what it is like to have no box to think out of. click here.

  Ask yourself - is there any other reason not to Front Run this market.......

If this is not enuf, drop me a note, there is a lot more where that came from but I am trying not to bore you...............

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Now that you got your boots WET, "WADE in the WATER" the Break Thru is HERE ! NOW, hear !! one of my favs

This got to be one of my fav spirituals and I put it here for the MESSAGE


so HEAR the message   WADE in the WATER !!   <<< YOUTUBE

   Move out with a sense of dispatch an find some cover, secure your positions

  here is WHY:
  % of of GDM Stocks Breaks to a new high for this leg ;
AND without Confirmation BIAS the Rules at Stock Charts declare this a continuation of a Bull Trend back in June of this year, validated again.

Lots more data on PEAK PICKS if you must have it, Subscribe now, we have a bulletin going out tonite with the stocks to have for this next leg.

Yeah, I like to entertain, but it is TIME TO WADE IN THE WATER and to SECURE YOUR POSITIONS...

SUBSCRIBE NOW, no risk with my personal money-back guarantee.
your choice is simple, subscribe or shoot darts for stocks.

Thursday, August 7, 2014

Even Geo.Washington had to jump in and get his feet wet. He knew what to do, as do you

No you don't have to be a Revolutionary War General to see this breakout.

    What you need to do is to have courage enuf to get your feet wet like Washington had to do, to get on the ground at Trenton and defeat his adversary.

   His boat was not warm and comfortable, but he was safe in the boat, and he took uncertainty by the throat and thrashed it much like Caesar did during his many campaigns when he picked the right times to Pursue or Withdraw.

   As we watched this progessions, we saw it coming.  Whom amongst us is prepared to act?   This, IMO, is the prime time.  If you want prime timing and prime picks, Sign on to PEAK PICKS, join us.

  You see what we do, now ask yourself, is there any reason we cannot do this for you?  Is there any reason not to Front Run the people who Front Run you?
In this moment the choice is yours............

       SIGN UP NOW and Get our New "7 Sleepers" Report, 7 sleeper candidates listed on US Exchanges.......Exclusively from PEAK PICKS

Wednesday, August 6, 2014

Must you miss this chance to act on the Aug 5 Midnite Confirmation?

  You can sign up now and get the benefit of being Ahead-of-the-Curve, and Front Run the people who have been Front-Running You !!
 Sign up now, it's about TIME for your turn !!

Saturday, August 2, 2014

TREND Reversal in Progress -WYSIWYG

  It is apparent btwn the example on the 29TH DAY that the tipping point in TREND REVERSAL is exceeded to the upside, in one of our FRONT DEFENSIVE FOUR, kinda like the old L.A.Rams Fearsome Foursome.  You only NEED 3 of the 4 to protect your capital, but #4 might fill out the set, helping  you find some capital gains from whatever this problem is later found out to be.  Right now we know there is turmoil that could hurt us, so PEAK PICKS issued an Immediate Alert to put in some of those DEFENSIVE FRONT FOUR to protect your capital.
Sign up and see what we mean.  WE do mean business.

Its pretty easy to compare the scale and direction, it is was clear what position to take as a Subscriber to PEAK PICKS.   Not obvious, but quite executable once you knew what to do.   We will watch further development of this, moving forward this week.
             None of our Custom measures are seen anywhere else, exclusive to us, and therefore, easier to help you profit.   You don't have to do this alone, maybe you should ask yourself, "Is there any reason I should not use PEAK PICKS to Front-Run them "?     Once you know that answer, you can Sign on with us.

  Good Luck,