Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Happy New Year. 2008 was a great year, leaves

me happy and in good health. I hope it has done the same for you. May you all have a Happy and Prosperous New Year for you and all of yours.

2009 is gonna rock. Some will question whether they will be on top of the rock or under the rock.

I tell you this : I will be striving to stay out from under the rock by staying on the correct side of the intermediate trend.

You are invited to visit my new website,, which is a work in progress. I am hoping to offer on-demand porfolio analysis as well as individual issue analysis, plus consulting and assistance. I will be keeping my numbers limited, using a cross referenced series of indicators to help investors in this education simulation, learn what they need to know to prosper in any environment.

For example, right now I am in 5 sectors, Food, Energy, Precious Metals, Misc & Cash
The composition of these segments is dynamic as the markets themselves, and so changes. A subscription to the DenaliguideSummit TREND UPDATE, issued each Wednesday will list the components of each sector, plus additions, deletions, acquisition levels and more.

Happy New Year. LOOK, DONT LISTEN .


Saturday, December 27, 2008

Short, Sweet and Unhedged

A friend posted something that I had mentioned earlier, so I will post six words.->

Market Rally, Gold UP, Dollar Down. <-THE PREVIOUS SIX WORDS. Till Obama's inaug, not clear past that yet.


The Denaliguide Summit Basic Subscriber Pre-Promotion rate for blog readers is $9.95 monthly for the first one hundred respondents. To obtain your Pre-Promotion subscription, please email " Subscriptions are only available via E-mail, sorry for any inconvenience.

New Year Coming, New Changes Coming

Please have my best wishes for the Happiest of Holiday Seasons, everyone, for you and your families.

My list of gifts and blessings : 1/ Family ; 2/ Health; 3/ Gratitude for the wonderful world in which we live.

As we pursue our lives and dreams, we all acknowledge that these gifts make that possible, and that part of our desire to pursue our dreams and objectives is to make those three things better.

For my part, the changes are a new website and the beginnings of a basic weekly subscription update service.

The focus on NEWS YOU CAN USE while its still NEWS has NOT CHANGED. No rehashes and recaps is still my policy.
Straight talk is what it is all about, so -> NO TALKING HEADS.

No TORRENTS of TEXT to dazzle & blind you, NO GATHERINGS of GURU's to cloud the mind.

Heres is what we do. Straight technical Opinion : "UP", "DOWN", "NO NET GAIN",
"YES", "NO", "I DONT have an Opinion". We form our opinions with New, Innovative Indicators Plus the support and confirming data of Standard Technical Analysis, plus the input of private, unpublished indicators. The data input is huge, but as it comes together, it may point directions previously unknown.

The Denaliguide Summit Basic Subscriber Pre-Promotion rate for blog readers is $9.95 monthly for the first one hundred respondents. To obtain your Pre-Promotion subscription, please email " Subscriptions are only available via E-mail, sorry for any inconvenience.

Thursday, December 25, 2008

Holidays, an Attitude of Gratitude

From the Summit, let me wish all our readers the very best the world has to offer them.

May you realize all these things, for "An Attitude of Gratitude."

My gift to you will be a secret, unless you obtain a copy of the "The Secret", available in DVD & VHS. That is my Holiday Gift to you.

And as I am reminded, please be assured I am nor, nor was not, nor have any connection with whomever made this production, but I think it is a good starting point, for anyone,anytime. It is simply a favorite of mine.

Happy Holidays.


Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Update posted

so check your mail or group. Good Luck


HOW DO I KNOW, everything will be alright ?

YOU DONT ! ! but does it take a Weatherman to figure which way the wind is blowing ?

Since the Oct 27th BOTTOM it is evident that many of the quality "unknown" small caps have advanced a great deal. That tells you IN SPITE OF WHAT THE Talking Heads are spewing that people who KNOW something or have CONVICITION, have backed up their willingness to RISK with real money.

What are you thinking? For darn sure, IMO, you need to be thinking.

THINK, dont LISTEN, in this age you have the tools. Your brain is either your best friend or your worst enemy, YOU DECIDE, not Fox News.

For those who dont receive it, there is a good free quarterly review published by
Toby Hansen, which is available, upon request. I shall put his email address under the BLOG PRINCIPLES for your ease, also, which is : It carries an article by myself and is available without charge.

In the meantime, THINK DONT listen to the Talking Heads -> basically, IMO they KNOW NOTHING, but read the copy they are given, and again, IMO, if you follow their lead you will be casualties in these INFO WARS.

In any case, Good Luck. I will be starting a Mentoring Class in the new year, so if you wish info, please contact me. Whatever your doing, make sure you have a great day !!!



Thursday, December 11, 2008

Vigilance, your key

Just as every square inch of inland water in Alaska is classified as CLASS "2" just because it is so cold, so am I on DEFCON "2" as concerns these markets.

That said, look at the above chart, and ask yourself, how quickly I'd jump to DEFCON "4", awaiting the launch of the WEIMAR HyperInflation. It would take me 2 nanoseconds or less to jump into a WEIMAR HyperINflation Alert Posture, simply due to all the circustances I addressed in my last post.

Its about zero F, with two feet of snow on the ground. Gas is cheap now, for awhile.
I have firewood, food, and the supplies and tools for daily living, at hand.

Would you need to make WEIMAR Alert Preparations, well you know, you'd have a go-bag, food, PM's and a portfolio balanced btwn Cap Gains, Income, Defense & Offense.
Since this is the Season of Christmas, I think a quote : ".... shall come like a thief in the night, and no one shall know the time....", I think, as I paraphrase or misquote Christ. I think that quote both ancient and wise applies here.

May the wealth of your life overwhelm you with gratitude for the world in which you live. Live and enjoy your life and all those around you. Make sure you light such candles as you may to snuff out the darkness.

Be Vigilant, Be Objective. LOOK dont LISTEN. Such things as I have given, please take with my sincere good wishes, and my best wishes for joyous times for you and yours.


GREEN LINE. Watch the Green Lines ! !

Following the Concept of LOOK DONT LISTEN ! WE NOW CAN follow the Green Lines.

What we are seeing here is the weighted compilation of all the advances minus declines on the NASD over a period of 100 days. Think of it as a weighted Oscilator, much like the Ultimate Oscillator.
It is further modified by being subjected to the MACD treatment in the lower panel.

The Upper Panel is Wilder's ADX, or directional index. The up line is GREEN. The green line measures HOW MUCH AREA is UNDER the BULLISH CURVE. It shows me that the Breadth is advancing.

So smoothed, weighted and massaged, the up-turning plurality of the Advances over the Declines on the NASD is very clear and apparent. I wonder if anyone on the frequencies has ever seen anything like that recently.

A nagging thought is tugging at me - > This is a Bear Market Rally, IMO. Suppose as like in '29 or '31 we have reached a bottom ; Would this 'Little' Bear Market Rally morph into a BULL [Inflationary ], and if it does, is that where it morphs into the WEIMAR/ZIBAWAE Hyperinflationary Bull Market?

Given the willingness of the Governmental Powers That Be to KNOWINGLY take us from pillar to post and back again, do I doubt that these increasingly Manic / Depressive bouts of volatility were not in the script. NO, I dont doubt that AT ALL.

What to do? LOOK< dont LISTEN - > stay on the correct side of the Intermediate Trend.
And what beyond that ? Be vigilant.


Do they feel lucky ? TALKING HEADS...........

IF I were these guys, I'd be heading for the rocks, high up where the peasants with the pitchforks & cudgels could not get to them.

THIS crew has talked the market right up when EVERYONE knew it had no business going there, supporting the insanity. Now they are rehashing every bit of bad news they are handed and never questioning why the market would discount such things TWICE.

In the rocks they might be safe from the pitchforks, but I am hoping some of the people who see themselves as screwed by them will have sniper capability. I hope, against all reason, that they would cease their corrupted activities, spreading bad news as thick as cold margarine on everyone's bread.

Well PUNKS, do ya feel Lucky Today ?


LOOK dont Listen ! Chart #1 is info enuf.

Click on both charts to enlarge to see what you should know.......IMO. !!


Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Happy Holidays from the Summit

RSUGF on the OTC, yields 9.7% here to US, 11.44% to Canadians.

DOUBLE HULL TANKERS, yields 25.5% here, has $3.25 per share in cash.

UNIFI is a textile producer.

Like Mexican Food ? They do. Plus maple syrup & baked beans.

This one you look up yourself. Its a niche market, I like the financials.

EGO - > probably not the greatest name but you will remember it. They produce GOLD.


Note you wont find these stocks on the tips of the tongues of any of those nefarious TALKING HEADS ! ! ! NO NO, No, a thousand times NO !!

Let not the words of those TALKING HEADS soil these Super Six Little Stocks.
What they have in common is they are all under $10.00. Three of the first FOUR give you really nice monthly or quarterly presents.

Virtually all of these stocks have refused to play nice with the bear market.
You may or may not want to play with them. They all have their own trends and tempo's for you to discern, so as always DYODD & DYOHW.

Things can change at any time. My accounts and Associated accounts may be in and out of these and many other stocks, and also in derivative positions of these stocks at any time, and have had positions in these stocks in the past.

If this is a good place for you to start your research, I wish you well in your quest[s].

Be vigilant, be kind, light that candle,


LOOK dont Listen ! ! !

Anyone care to hazard a guess as to a position -> hmmm I'd say its a BOTTOM ~ !

No not THE BOTTOM, but a Bottom. Bottom of what? Probably a Bear Market Rally.

Ya know the kind that make you think ITS OVER ? So lets ask ourselves :

WHOM DONT WE LISTEN TO : The Talking Heads ! Oh yes are they not scaring the

stuffing out of you right now. Oh yes whooo hooo, layoffs, plant closures, etc,
etc, etc.

Wow werent the reasons behind the UNKNOWNS for the market collapse in September
& October that the TALKING HEADS were just taken all by surprise about ? So they and whomever gives them their material just had to make up for that by trying and trying to scare the pants off you with OLD NEWS. Seems to me a market dropping by almost half is discounting alot of stuff.

So now your going to be subject to the drum-beat until THEY decide it'd be good to say good things. GUESS WHAT HAPPENS THEN? My bet ? I bet you a cup of snow that then things will go south, after a brief couple days of "Good Feelings". Call those good feelings a "Christmas Gift".

Well Ya know what, in my next post, I will enclose half a dozen presents to all, from me to you, and I hope they will be "News You Can USE".

Lite the candle, be vigilant and kind.


Thursday, December 4, 2008

W Y "SEE" I W Y G, so Look DONT Listen ! !

"LOOK > Dont < LISTEN ! ! !"

So is that a CRASH of all the ADVANCING Issues MINUS the DECLINING ISSUES?

The blue line is a 34 day average of the momentum within that measurement, so it is
averaged, and buffered and insulated from sudden moves, but what does it show ?

Does what it shows match what the TALKING HEADS are SCREAMING ? IMO, NoT !!

Every card game has its "ACE-in-the-HOLE", it has its HOLD cards, and it has its DISCARDS. The trick is knowing where your hand fits. Unlike a card game, you can get NEW CARDS anytime you want, even tho the "DEALER" can reshuffle every hand if it wants to.

What I see is a Bear Market. What I see is a rally counter to the Bear Trend, at least for awhile. I have my ACES, I have my Hold Cards and I always take a few new cards on each go - round. I will be updating my links to reflect this.

The psychological impact of the media is staggering, and slams us constantly with a drumbeat of whatever news is in vogue. I purposely isolate myself from most of this and at times feel quite the idiot when someone informs me of some newsy tidbit I maybe have missed. Better I miss that tidbit and maintain what sanity I have left.

Do as you will, "WYSIWYG".


Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Bulletin out tomorrow for List Members

In which I will examine the current rally.

In a nutshell, volume and breadth are in step in the development of this rally, IMO.

See ya'll tomorrow.


Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Welcome to my Night Mare, thank you for sharing

my dementia. [ That line courtesy of Jason Alexander, ala Seinfeld]

Is the sky falling in Canada today, re: crazy coalition cabal? Will the US Congress "get a grip" and reform the Auto Industry ? Notice I DID NOT Say "BAILOUT"?

Yes its a Rip Tide and investors are swimmming hither, thither and yon, trying to find a course to safety. Oh yes those guys, sceaming raucously, bloody blue murder, yeah they are about to hit the rocks in the dingy, they the TALKING HEADS. ! !

The questions are: 1/ WHO is really on FIRST ;, and once you decide that

3/ Last Question: Anyone find a FALLING WEDGE Here ?

4th - this is a "fill in the blanks" chart, feel free to write on your copies !!

To answer the first two questions you must have your head screwed on straight and be as grounded and centered as possible even if swimming. To answer the Third, you might want X-Ray vision.

Knowing FORCE in the background of this chart represents the Emotional Intensity
that is operating in The Market for the WILSHIRE 5000, the 5000 most representative capitalization stocks in the USA market Universe, you could conclude that most of the
participants are operating less and less on emotions as this Stealth Rally ensues.
Further it is instructive to note the lack of a further breakdown in the $WLSH.
Is that what the palaver from the TALKING HEADS would have you believing ? Probably not, they are still stampeding straight off the cliff or about to hit the rocks and die, according to their screams. !!! So now we know a BULL is on first.

The question will be later answered as to the BULL's qualifications, as the rally unfolds. Yes it is a rally. Be mindful that when you stop hitting yourself on the head with a hammer, even the ABSENCE of PAIN feels like PLEASURE. Knowing that be aware that the technicals can at times respond to the lifting of selling pressure.
BUT when selling pressure abates, well you fill in the blanks.............

Now DO YOU FEEL LUCKY TODAY ? You might want to check the links, as I add and remove lists as often as I post, because THINGS CHANGE. I can say that some of the people who own some of issues on certain of these lists FEEL LUCKY. I do this much, now you DYODD & DYODD. There are NO Magic Bullets, so if you do it WRONG, it will HURT ! ! !

Ya'll have fun and fight nice now,


Monday, December 1, 2008


so this was one of the worst days in market history ? WHERE ?

So do you? The Pundits and Guru's are telling you how bad it is. What do the graphic's say? Recession ? Who didnt know that ? No one discounts the same thing twice and you can see from the lack of a break to a lower bottom, that the TALKING HEADS are impressed with it, but the Market is not.

So do you?


Thursday, November 27, 2008

Is this how it gets good ?

Excuse the switched subject and verb, but is this how "The Rally" will proceed ?,hl,UFI,DHT,FHC,SUF,RSI/UN.TO,GLT,$VLE,$WLSH|B|A12,26,9

"YES Virginia, some investors will exit this rally with profits ! "

" YES Virginia, it IS a Bear Market Rally ! ! ! " But that doesnt mean the

Bear gets to eat you this time. Or any time. IF you think on your feet, command
from the saddle, all while keeping your wits about you. Remember the "warm fuzzy"
feelings we all used to get in the middle of those sweet, sweet, "Buy & Hold" market trends ? RIGHT NOW, if your stomach is not queasy holding the above stocks,
you shouldnt be in this market IMO. Am I too cynical, thinking, your too trusting?

Those warm fuzzy feelings should be the trigger to your gut response to SELL ! !
You see, it isnt safe anymore to buy and hold, if you want to maintain your actual
buying power, rather than nominal dollar totals. The reality is that if this is not your business where you coldly calculate the value of any given stock, you will have unrequited love. These suckers will break your heart, and your wallet. Its the same old story over and over again. The names of the players may change, but the
GAME is Still the SAME !

My Loyalty to Objectivity will remain my constant, my pole star. You will notice that issues pass thru my links as quickly if they were dirty socks. The rule is simple, perform or be selected out. Your job, if you choose to use my screening out and inclusion of issues [ which my Associates and I may or may not have long, short or derivative postions in ], is to DYODD & DYOHW to find issues you like, and to develop selection and timing techniques that will allow you to remove profits from this rally and other market moves of this size and nature. Basically it comes down to, it doesnt so much matter what happens to you, its what you do about it that effects the outcome for or against you.

Good Luck to All,


Some chars as food for thought !,Q.TO,AGI.TO,MIG,HQS,PIF/UN.TO,SNG,cia|B|A12,26,9

Wednesday, November 26, 2008


No long post. Simply, we are grateful for the things of daily living provided.

Internet perhaps. Clean water, definately YES. Air cleaner,clearer than before,YES

Food, clothing and shelter. If you got it your doing OK. Please think of the folx

on my KIVA Link here. They want a chance, not a hand out. My givings have been

repaid. Maybe its a time to PAY IT FORWARD.

Be thankful. Be vigilant, be kind.


Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Eclectic Approach to Non-Rally

Well Investor's Business Daily has panned todays action as a Non-Rally basically because price and volume are displaying opposing trends. I agree, maybe.

I have basically spelled out that I think this is a bottom area , FOR A LOT OF ISSUES.

Notice " ...a bottom area....". Not THE BOTTOM. Not this stock or that stock, but a BOTTOM AREA for a LOT OF ISSUES. So I disagree with Investors Business Daily, maybe.

Here is a cut and paste of part of a technical scan that illustrates what is going on here, from tonite's scans:

P&F Triple Top Alerts (NYSE)
24 Nov 2008
Symbol Name Exch
BRL Barr Laboratories, Inc.
D Dominion Resources Inc
DEG Delhaize Group
EIG Employers Holdings Inc.
IEF 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Fund
NST Nstar
RYN Rayonier, Inc.
SRE Sempra Energy
TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund
VR Validus Holdings, Ltd.
XOM Exxon Mobil Corp.

There are barely any issues in that list that even tangentally relate to each other.

The bear list for the same formation is simply some of everything. At least in a Bull list, there ARE Sectors represented. Yet it would seem it would take Merlin to figure out the relationships btwn these issues, OR WOULD IT ?

To me, this list suggests the full blow potential for an Inflationary Depression, with Weimar Overtones, and a full dose of Finacial Instability, dressed with a large measure of Schizophrenic Volatility. IT whispers, Energy, Specie, Land, Govt Sec's, and Selected Survivors, to me. A similar list of mini-charts that I posted to UPDATES tonite, had that same twisted, tweaked quality, suggesting the possiblity of potential survivors who might thrive in the Post-Bubble-Crash environment.

Since I have begun to use Yahoo Groups for the Updates, the previous updates will be available to new UPDATE requesters.

This Post is not a DONT BUY. It is not an ALL CLEAR. IT is a HEADS - UP !

There are issues out there that will reward those who DYODD & DYOHW. Let this be your starting point. As of last count, there were 1034 ETF's, ETN's [ Long & Short] and Closed End Funds. l To Thrive & Prosper Financially is possible for those willing to work to obtain the knowledge, and do the work. A journey of 1,000 miles starts with but one step.

Good Luck, Be Vigilant,


Sunday, November 23, 2008

Slight change to Update recipients.

If you care to receive UPDATES, I am doing it thru Yahoo Groups. All who received it previous are signed up except those Banning Direct Sign Ups. They will be notified by email, and will need to sign up from their own accounts.


Thursday, November 20, 2008

Market valuations detached from reality = PANIC

had a note from a reader the other day, went like this : " We are down 40% from the highs......." yadda yadda yadda !

Ok, its the 3rd or the 5th or the 7th Round, in who knows how many. We are tired,
be have been cut, we hurt. Thats the bad news. Casual observers know this.

I can remember taking a real bruiser of a left right on my nose, let my guard down.

No we were not all in cash in September, most of us. The pain to my brain instantly

alerted me that I was going to lose this fight if I didnt stop feeling tired and a

bit sorry for myself. In a word it ADRENALIZED ME, then I got ANGRY. Not MAD, Angry ! The difference was I looked for this guy's weakness. Two left jabs, a stutter step, fake a third left jab and give him a right upper cut to the left side of his ribcage. The first left connected, the second was blocked, in the stutter step he stepped into me, and extended a left jab as I left jabbed and they blocked each other. As he had stepped into me, I pivoted as I give him the right upper cut, now almost a hook into his ribcage and heard him audibly exhale from the blow and the pain. We were "kids" in a YMCA boxing format, and he won on points and form, he was a good boxer and faster than me.

Was that much different than now ? Investors are bloodied and bruised and the volatility has numbed most of them into easy kills, like the baitfish in the rip tides.


Doing my technical scans last night, I came across many a disturbing find.
No, not that new lows were in a ratio of 86 new lows for each 1 new high. That is a number we leave for the " TALKING HEADS " in their " SAME OLE STUFF, DIFFERENT DAY "
Daily Whine.

The other guy in this fight is tired also.

I observed the following stocks, in no particular order in these various formations, again in no particular order :

Bullish Engulfing, New Aroon Uptrend, Improving Money Flow, Bullish Harami, Hammer,
Hollow Red Candle, Bear Trap Alert, Spread Triple Top ;



Purposely, I avoided ETF's and Inverse ETF's. I tried to include companies that
MAKE THINGS AND STUFF. Kroger sells FOOD & STUFF. Hercules Powder makes stuff
makes other things Go BOOM and BANG. There are others. While I or my Associates
may have short or long postions, I DONT ENDORSE ANY OF these, YET. IN MY OPINION,
readers need DYODD & DYOHW.

Each and every technical formation I have mentioned has a bullish component or implication. Some have bearish potential too. Do the math. Ask YOURSELF, are we closer to a BOTTOM or a TOP here ?? What I can tell you is NO WHERE NEAR AS IMPORTANT as WHAT YOU TELL YOURSELF.

What I can tell you, is that I see PLAYS in FOOD, Energy & PM's, Food now, Energy sooner, and finally PM's. If you are hesitant about entries, and want more info, please dont hesitate to either sign up for Alert Updates or Email me at "" so I can give you a simple system or two to work with.

Good Luck, these issues are now added to the links under FOOD, ENERGY and PM's, so please excuse any repeats of issues in the charts.


Wednesday, November 19, 2008

And now a Fourth Touch of that $6.50 Level by Nat Gas

Clarity comes from knowing. If the readers here were Associates who retained me, well I would not be working so hard to get them to investigate and DYODD & DYOHW.

I was directly asked, what I meant by my last $NATGAS chart. I meant, INVESTIGATE !
Many factors bear on a market like NAT GAS. The "Weight of the Evidence" is most often made graphically visible via charts.

I mean that the $6.50 Level has been touched and rebounded off of FOUR TIMES.
The price of gas has made drilling uneconomic. That does not matter if no one wants gas. Fertilizer is made from Nat Gas, as is chemical feedstock. Fuel & energy feeds off Nat Gas, as does Oil Sands production. Natural Gas is obviously worth something.

Given the uses of Nat Gas, and its consumption, it will have to be supplied.
Such as the cost of production is, there is no excess to be dumped on the markets, so
unless the price goes up, gas wont be produced. Unlike some products, NAT GAS was never much of a by-product, so if the cost of production is not equalled or exceeded by the market price, it will not be produced.

Such understanding, if you possess it, will do you well, so that you can confidently investigate and provide your own market research, rather than being
dependent upon the opinions of others, good, bad or indifferent, mine included.

Good Luck,


Friday, November 14, 2008



Ya gotta love Tim & Al on Home Improvement. They were so well known amongst my guests in THE Park, I could make jokes about the size of a huge beaver lodge belonging to a Tim Allen-like beaver, and it would get a laugh.

And yes, some collections of tools are nice but they aren't too smart, such as a box of hammers. I dont like anything as "dumb as a box of hammers", but sometimes I like collections of Hammers like the one I have just added to my links. H is for Hammer

A hammer for candlestick fans is a formation that occurs where the closing price of a stock, closes above the previous close, has a body that extends above the bottom of the body of the previous day. Properly constituted, it is a powerful reversal pattern.
How exactly it works, is best investigated on your own initiative, and the Chart School at Stock Charts is a good place to start. There are certain difference of interpretation, that are significant, IMO, and if you find this confusing, please
drop me an email, "".

We do not endorse any of these stocks, although we may have positions in these stocks or their derivatives over an indeterminate period of time.

Good Luck.


Thursday, November 13, 2008

Thursday the THIRTEENTH - Wheew whoo ! !

Well as I was cruising my charts, comparing stock bottoms, I just pushed into my NatGas pix. Nice....... DOES IT GET ANY CLEARER ?

Paulson wants this, Congress wants that, Palin is gonna run for Senate, MAYBE.

Does any of this say BI-POLAR to anyone ? Whom's among us, has been there in 1936 ?

Doom and gloom as thick as it could be while war clouds wafted in over Europe.
Who was there in 1942, when the Allies were getting their butts whipped all over Europe and the Pacific? How about it, how many guys here knew about "Task Force Smith"
where virtually every able bodied American stationed in Japan was sent to Korea to repulse the "surprise attack" in 1950 ?

For every black psychological moment like this, there has been a lifting.

The most serious problem that faces anyone is the Psychological Paralysis that come from the Talking Heads, the Gathering of Guru's, the Tsunami of Text, the TEchNIcal ANalYsis Paralysis.

Most investors are numb and shell shocked, like baitfish slammed from pillar to post and back again, swimming in circles, easy prey.

Look at the above chart and ask yourself : " IS IT CLEAR ENUF YET ? "

Do you need a WeatherMan to tell you which way the wind is blowing ?

Is it just Nat Gas ? Or has the cash outflow from every sector, done exactly the same thing? Probably not exactly the same, not in the same time or same measure, but I bet if you DYODD, and DYOHW, you will find similarities.

If you dont know how to find them, drop me a note at "" and I will send you a couple ways to look for them.

Good Luck ya'll


Friday, November 7, 2008

Link Update

Please note for the Canadian Readers, I have updated the CANADIAN Technical Scans.

These scans represent issues selected from technical scan filters, showing particular

characteristics as diverse as money flow and Japanese Candlestick patterns. Those

interested in these issues are cautioned to DYODD, & DYOHW. If you have specific

questions on how to accomplish this, please inquire of me, at:

"", and I will do my best to point you in the right


Good Luck All, and have a great weekend.


Thursday, November 6, 2008

FEAR Mongering & Panic Redux

Please note that I have reviewed all the stocks listed in the links.

Note that I added four new links. The most interesting one to me, is the LAST Technical Scan SHORT, Bank of America. I am sure that readers are aware of the
fantastically impossible acquisitions that BAC was used to 'bailout', I think it is ironic that its P & F downside objective is ZERO at this time.
Not that I think any sane Central Banking Authority will let this organization fail, I can see it slowly twisting in the wind as dire announcements after announcements of "special charges", etc, etc, ad nauseum. SEE IMAGE BELOW:


Please note, that the shorter of the two curves represents the $bkx. The longer curve, is the Liquidity Flow Projection.

Good Luck.


Fear Mongering, Panic Pandering. ENUF Already !

Seems to me you cant open your E-mail, your snail-mail, the TV without someone freaking out about how BAD things are. This, that, and the other. FEAR, INDECISION, buy my service, do what I say, The Sky is Falling, oh Chicken Little The Sky is Falling.

Maybe its time to simply figure out what sectors are falling and rising and find a way to time the Intermediate Trend rather than just listening to all this noise.

Much, much of what I used to read is simply noise, as the Gathering of Guru's specialize in cancelling each other out, and its all sound and fury signifiying nothing.

Below is a graphic of a liquidity flow projection for the last quarter of 2008.

Equity markets respond to liquidity or the lack thereof, make up your own mind.

I am long $BKX & XLE Call Options.


Sunday, October 26, 2008

Back in the day, just this summer I wrote:

"The books are cooked, the money is queer, and the tape is painted". Obviously this was all borne out by the events of the last 30 days. At the 12K to 14K region it was obvious the "TAPE WAS PAINTED." At 7800 to 8800, this is not NOW the case.

"The MONEY is Queer". This is still true, but now everyone wants it so it is appreciating, not depreciating. Its good for awhile but not forever. Its part of the
"Fox & Hounds" tactical strategy the US Monetary Authorities use to bat both GOLD and the $USD in opposite directions in a well coordinated tennis match. It will continue.
If you want a mathematical model to show you how and where these points shift, please sign up for the UPDATES.

What is next? Well if this is a panic bottom [ My opinion, even if this only becomes a relief rally in a bear market ], then what comes after a bottom is an uptrend. GOT STOCK ? GOT GOLD? OBserve the TREND charts in the LINKS for clues.

My LINKS will be updated tonite, so that you can follow what I am : A/ Watching ;

B/ HOLDING; C/ Specific Lists are reserved for Associates..

Have fun, fight nice, stay alert.


Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Who was your mysterious partner for

the Rothschild Tango ?

Were they reluctant to get out there and dance as you both dodged falling stocks ?

What little treats and tidbits did you bite into? Yes, we got some, but we'd been

positioning for this number since September. Yes I will include some of them in the

links. They are necessarily few, because they survived the carnage very nicely,

thanks for asking. Let me proceed to beat a dead horse silly, also - > the ones that

survived were not only the best chart patterns, and way above support so that they

were not pounded down to break support, but they were way high in the relative

strength ratings also. There is a tri-partate theme running thru these issues, but

I will save that for later. The portfolio itself is a mix of stocks, options and

warrants, hopefully provide sufficient poise and balance to take us thru this next

stretch. Hope ya'll are stretching your minds too............

Good Luck To All,


Saturday, October 11, 2008


Well my friends, the walking wounded, we are still here, with lots of targets.

If this was a sweet benign happy environment, this stuff would be called LOW HANGING FRUIT. Well OK, so you have had a baptism by fire. For the more "Seasoned" amongst us, its the same drill. So you have those 20+ stocks I listed in links.

The website has some also. Plenty of targets. If you have ammo, its no honor finishing a major battle with excess ammo. So choose carefully, the tools are yours, and get "rockpile" positions, so like a crab inside a rockpile, no one can get at you.

See who flopped yesterday and who did "HOCKEY PUCK" Bounces. Find your support levels and see whom bounced off theirs. Set out some "stinky" bid orders and see what you catch. We landed a nice bunch of Kinross Warrants with some Stinky Orders for SCALE-IN purchases that were hit. Nice surprise. We were crazy busy shifting money, and in the end we are scarred not crippled.

This world is your oyster. Go get it .........


Friday, October 10, 2008

Dow in Gold terms, holdings.

It looks like the Dow has IN REALITY done a serious decline. The actual drops NOW are big in dollars but small in gold. Gold wise I am in the Kinross warrants, and some NGD.

My core holdings now are UFI, LZB, BXC. Energy holdings are GST, GSX, KRU, XLE.

Good Luck To All,



Below is a direct Cut and Paste from Yahoo Finance @ 9:44 EDST. Does it look like a panic, a rout ?

Above is a chart of the DOW divided by $GOLD. Seems to me, at least in Japanese Candlestick Theory, that Reversal Formations occur at the end of a trend. I do believe that this chart shows the trend clearly, for me at least.

In the links later today I will add my CORE holdings, plus one or two kickers in energy and precious metals. Oh yes, I have been hammered along with everyone else.

ATX 1,931.45 9:28AM ET Down 229.91 (10.64%) Components, Chart, More
^BFX BEL-20 2,070.88 9:41AM ET Down 170.00 (7.59%) Chart, More
^FCHI CAC 40 3,105.92 9:28AM ET Down 336.78 (9.78%) Chart, More
^GDAXI DAX 4,397.94 9:28AM ET Down 489.06 (10.01%) Chart, More
^AEX AEX General 254.36 9:41AM ET Down 27.61 (9.79%) Chart, More
^OSEAX OSE All Share 287.20 9:28AM ET Down 23.53 (7.57%) Components, Chart, More
^MIBTEL MIBTel 15,362.00 9:41AM ET Down 1,157.00 (7.00%) Components, Chart, More
^IXX ISE National-100 77.76 Sep 22 0.00 (0.00%) Chart, More
^SMSI Madrid General 960.05 9:40AM ET Down 106.05 (9.95%) Components, Chart, More
^OMXSPI Stockholm General 195.52 9:43AM ET Down 13.03 (6.25%) Chart, More
^SSMI Swiss Market 5,320.17 9:41AM ET Down 478.67 (8.25%) Chart, More
^FTSE FTSE 100 3,924.73 9:28AM ET Down 389.07 (9.02%

Thursday, October 9, 2008

Time for the Rothchild Tango ?

Well if you'd rather cuddle up with two or three little rabid, manegy polecats or vermin around a nice warm fire, rather than buy common stocks, this might be the moment to look at it AGAIN. HINT - > If you havent used the FORCE Indicator on, well you might want to play with it tonite. LET THE "FORCE" BE WITH YOU....


Macbeth,Act 4, Scene 1 Enter THREE Witches - >

" .....Hell broth."

"Double, double, toil and trouble, Fire burn, and cauldron bubble", no not Halloween but another busy day on Wall Street.

Apparently the Main Streeters are sharpening their pitchforks up to have at the Wall Streeters. No, not in the streets of AnyTown USA, nor in the Safeway, nor Kroger nor Loblaws. Nope, probably more like your bank or credit union, will be the "revolting" scene when your Home Equity Credit Line is shut down or restricted.

"Wars, and rumors of wars", a quote from the Christian Bible, tells of peoples troubles and rumors stirring fear.

The reality is, even tho REAL [ not dollars ] incomes reached their peak in North America in 1973, life has merrily moved on.

If your not in your cabin, cottage or bunker with a year's worth of ammo, fuel and freeze-dried tofu, well, you might as well, with the rest of us, come smell the coffee and find some trends from which you can profit.

The world is changing, not ending, so the more it changes, the more it stays the same. Yes the money has gone down the rabbit hole, yes. If you cant fit down the rabbit hole, we will have to find another means of obtaining dinner. Snares, nets, spears, what? You know, risk creates oppurtunity, but that doesnt mean you have to take crazy risks.

Find a niche, study it, develop it, excel at it. The laurels in this world dont go to the faint of heart, nor will they last in the hands of the crazy reckless ones.
Be incisive, clever, observe, and learn. Its your oyster........



For your viewing pleasure I am adding more links, enjoy.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Double Down? Double Up?

Now I pose a number of options as regards the dollar denominated price of gold:

Halved ? Doubled? Tripled? Quadruple? My research suggests that three of those

four proposed numerical changes are before us, and I expect that scenario to start

unfolding within approximately a fortnight, as I am monitoring it. My associates are

positioning for the first part of the move, and will be watching the developments.

Here on the blog, I post some information that could help readers participate in

the changes as they unfold. Associates are able to position as much as they are

comfortable, so they can realize the benefits as the events unfold without the need

to react.

Stay vigilant during this next fortnight, as the situation will develop and if you

watch you should be able to position beforehand, rather than chase the developments.


Subscribe to the Blog

and that way you dont have to check in every hour on the hour to see if I have posted.

My posts are to help you develop your own insights. I dont do any real projections

on the Blog. I do from time to time, post snippets of my projection graphics, in order to present framework for guidance.


Thursday, October 2, 2008

TWO MORE THINGS, and a new objective

THOUGHT #1: Should have gold, given all the
premises and contentions we accept as true, have achieved, and broken
thru the 1000 plateau and stayed there by now, given the horrendous
circustances we have ALREADY experienced ? Manipulation you say?
I say NOT from from $253 to 1033, NOT, NOT, NOT ! That it only ONLY
hit the 1033 mark in the ASIAN session tells me a lot, and then has
been unable to climb the hill. If you say that is manipulation, then
you accept that the rise from 253 to 1033 is also Manipulation !
IMO, there is something more, that we dont see.

THOUGHT #2 : The sharpest guy I know, suggested, along with the
more popular Steve Saville, that commodities were gonna 'cool it'.
My Mr.Sharpguy, however, suggests that commodities are dead money
until 2010. Scary thought isnt it. Now I stirred up very much dust
over at GoldTent, and even got an attack article aimed at me titled
"Objectivity or Negativity ?", when I suggested the Good News Bad News
scenario I developed. Simply it says : The GOOD NEWS is that the
GOLD BULL cannot be BROKEN, because, [ THE BAD NEWS ] the Super Long
Term Support is at $450. [ More fun News is my newest price objective
for Long Term Gold ].

Given Thoughts #1 & #2, I will be NOT buying and holding but using
my private indicators to try to stay on the right side of what I think
the Intermediate trend.

OH not I havent published that new objective, YET.


Two New things, and one scary one

ONE: I have enable comments, to attempt to know what ya'll think.

TWO: you will find a FEEDJIT box at the bottom of the page. If you wish NOT to participate, simply hit "OPTIONS" and tell it to IGNORE your browser.

Scary thing: Gold 828 as I write this.



I enlarged this, a bit for betting viewing. LOL but it didnt work, so please click on the image to enlarge it.

I think it was a RISING WEDGE as it occured at the top of a rise, and since gold is in the 850's as I write this, this would be logical. Meanwhile I expect the fall in gold to be temporary as per my UPDATE, but I dont as yet, and might never have a downside target. For the exact timing I tend to lean on my mechanical indicators.

Have fun Ya'll,


Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Alert UPDATE amendment

for those who subscribe and got todays's update, I want to amend my timing by saying, after reviewing some GAP analysis, I might need to extend my window period ONE Week.
The rest of the sequence remains as I published it.


The Most Dangerous Time


Traveling in a white-out is probably the most dangerous time I have experienced in ground or air travel. Combine that with intense auroral activity in an aircraft and you might as well fly blindfolded. More commonly you start out down the road with a threat of a storm, but you must go, or so you think. The visibility keeps reducing. Fingers of snow snake across the road in ground blizzards, but pretty soon you are trying to navigate by the shoulder markers, and as the light grays out, they disappear. If all you have is ditches on either side of you, well that’s not as bad as being on Eagle Summit, with a 1,700 foot drop off when you steer off the shoulder. One vehicle operator I knew had sufficient concern for his personal safety, to exit his vehicle in ZERO VISIBILITY to crawl down the road to find the chain marks in the glare ice road surface, so he could maintain a safe distance from the shoulder. One driver’s body, who apparently did not, was recovered from an Alaska Dept. of Transportation Plow Truck, about a mile down the 30% incline, reduced to half height by the one mile roll over after roll over down the rock slope. The case is this: If you have sufficient regard for your safety, personal or financial or otherwise, you are a survivor. If you take in the Torrents of Text, and it doesn’t have horse sense for you, you might have to get down and find out where the chain marks on the road warn you away from danger

Because we are in choppy bottom area, as to TA and such, you might as well be flying up north, in a auroral storm, watching your instruments spin uselessly round and round.
Any number of alternate methods can work, but you have to have practiced using them before the time at hand REQUIRES you use them.

And now, was it a flag unfurling from a flag pole, or was it a rising wedge ? Apparently to have a bearish signal, according to basic short term Japanese Candlestick theory, or so I am told, you must have a sign at the top of a rise. Therefore, I saw it as a Rising Wedge. Apparently the flag never unfurled, nor was run up the flagpole. Not that the flag is at half mast, for, we are now at not one but perhaps three or four confluences of cycles and tides which are pulling Gold, and hence all Gold derivatives, hither, thither and yon. Combining time cycles, price cycles and money flows, soon my accounts will be long gold and gold related issues and stay long for awhile.

The Energy Complex isn’t that far off these marks, but will require slightly differing timing. “Your actions demonstrate your beliefs.” IF I am riding the First Wave, and there is a Second Wave, my trail stops will take me out profitably. If I am riding the Second Wave, my trail stops will take me out profitably. I am of two minds as to whether this the First or Second Wave, but am playing it the same way for both.

Because we are in choppy bottom area, as to TA and such, you might as well be flying up north, in a auroral storm, watching your instruments spin uselessly round and round.
Any number of alternate methods can work, but you have to have practiced using them before the time at hand REQUIRES you use them.

Those receiving Alert UPDATES will get notice in a timely manner, and my associated accounts will be pre-positioned before the move [ as I know them to be ] actually get underway. I act pre-emptively & pro-actively, rather than trying to react to changes. As I opined before, the TREND is NOT your FRIEND, when IT ENDS.


Saturday, September 27, 2008

the Masque

Usually in war, the first casualty is truth. I think in the war of Fiat Vs. Specie, this has never been more true.

"To every thing, there is a season........." or so says the verse from Ecclesiastis [SIC], and my paraphrase, "A Time to Buy, and A Time to Sell". Apparently this truth has either escaped many in the Specie camp, or simply been shelved. It certainly hasnt been lost on the PTB, as they have handled the GoldBugs time and time again, like the Green Bay Packers against a Pop Warner team of 10 yr olds, time and time and time again.

The rising wedge I pointed out, presaged a vacum that had formed underneath it that allowed the rise to 909 to be followed by a drop to 862. So 909 was place where I bought PUTS on an $XAU related item. Next I will have to find a TIME & Place to sell these Puts, reverse my field and buy CALLS. DO I have a TIME ? YES I DO. DO I have a PLACE ? NO I dont, but I have the next best thing, A DIRECTION and a point by which to recognize a REVERSAL !! TWO out of THREE is sufficient to get the job done. Also darned hard to come by. That is often the best hand you can get dealt in this game, an outside straight rather than an inside straight. When you are playing against probably the biggest and most informed money pools on the planet, whom always have the HOUSE Spread over you, you can figure your straight-on odds of success are less than theirs.

If you MUST know why a move occurs, I suggest you consider a Post Operations Intell search, for I dont believe I can know this in advance. I feel very fortunate to have a rough idea of WHEN, and even a hint of Where, but Best if I have DIRECTION and WHEN working for me --> Whats in your plan ??



Friday, September 26, 2008

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

NOW Let the Games Begin ! ! !

Now even tho I had thought of this contest BEFORE the PTB at a certain site BANNED me yet again, I thought it would be nice to have this contest, since apparently after observing graphics on this site, one well known conmentator adjusted the direction and measure for a certain commodity. I am glad, since as I am off that board, no one could get a link to the blog and until the board master altered his pronouncement, all would not have understood the change in projection.

THE CONTEST : Please identify the chart contained on my links, which has
a RISING WEDGE. The RISING WEDGE is Manifest on September 24, 2008.

THE PRIZE : Consulting Session, FREE, 15 minutes. My call, w/i N.America.

THE RULE : First one to E-Mail Denaliguide with the NAME OF THE LINKED CHART GROUP, and the CHART, to " ", wins the consulting session.
PRIZE VALUE : Priceless.

Ya'll have fun and fight nice. PUBLISHED 5 PM 9/24/2008. CONTEST ENDS N.L.T 9/30/08


What can we rely ON? Facts & Figures, as GRAPHIC

I'd name this chart but I dont think it needs that. Basic Chart Reading Skills, should help you OBJECTIVELY determine your decision. I dont think you need any input from me. No TEXT, No Guru, No Interpretation, No Finesse, at least thats my take.

Good Luck To All.


Saturday, September 20, 2008

What can we rely upon ?

The Oath of Arbroath, updated for this topic and this time:

For as long as any number of us remain standing, never we will on any conditions relinquish our freedom to rule by these evildoers who wormed their way into ascent by the devious means of defrauding people of control of their money. Money is freedom and belongs to the people. Legal Tender is the property of the Pretender Usurpers, and used to fraudulently obtain power bit by bit, eroding the self-evident human rights, forcing people to trade freedom for security, financial and otherwise. This why do what we do.

Straight, cold turkey, stone cold objectivity is our Sun, the great beacon by which we can navigate under all conditions without other assistance. It is the one tool of resistance that we can always rely upon. OBJECTIVITY, no matter who likes it..........

The tools are at your disposal.....




to which I'd say, probably the thing that gave Caesar more of his victories than anything else, was an understanding of when to pursue relentlessly, and NOT rest, until he has secured victory and decimated a fleeing foe. Resting was probably the easiest thing to do and the wrongest thing too ! ! !

“Well NOW isn’t that a revolting development?” Oh I can remember asking myself that question, in the face of shifting facts.
Just when you thought you found “EASY STREET, the borough comes out, takes down the street signs and post a new name, like John Henry Blvd., and when you ask the sign crew, they tell you that THAT street name has been shifted down btwn the junkyards and the river. Isnt that always the way it is ?

Now that those nasty boys in the PTT & PTB have had their nose’s bloodied by the failure of both Wall Street and Main Street institutions and confirmed by GOLD’s [ the metal ] spike to 925 from 740, we are on Easy Street, right to 1,000 and beyond for both the Gold Metal and the Gold Mining Stocks, Right ?

Well, now I invite you to sign up for the Up-Dates here, as that is where I will post the graphics that I hope will shed some light on the above contentions. I do NOT invite ACCEPTENCE of the premises put forth, merely consideration. I am sure they will be at the high end of the deniability scale, but I hope everyone will merely contemplate the information provided in the UPDATE.

The quote I like best is: " Be not concerned at others opinions of the market, but rather the OPINION of the MARKET".

Nuff said. Now, do I remember HUGE pronouncements that the US DOLLAR

" COULD NOT " reach 81 ? I will spare you all the rest of the commentary.

NOW that we have Established that IT COULD reach 80, we must CONSIDER:

IF I had to describe it, from one of the Stock Chart Scans, I'd call the UUD ETF for the $US Dollar [ UP ], as OVERSOLD with an Improving RSI

From my perspective it looks as if it is in compression from a correction and recoiling. You can DYODD & DYOHW and draw your own conclusions.

NOW LETS harken back to several others way smarter than me, and ask
ourselves, as in math class, is our answer reasonanble ?

A respected guy oft quoted here, predicted the much maligned and hated US Dollar could climb over 90, and IF I remember right, wasnt he the say guy who called for its climb BEFORE it hit 76 ?
Given that, IS it REASONABLE to look at the facts so far, and see WHAT PATTERNS they Might fit, BEFORE we impose OUR Pattern on the facts?

FACT #1 : US DOLLAR in some kind of UPTREND.
FACT #2 : Several technical projections allow for potential
upside targets far in excess of any
FACT #3 : Major support for GOLD [ the metal ] exists SOOO LOW

FACT #4 : FACTS # 1, 2 & 3, are so upsetting to the
"ACCETPTED MINDSET" in the hard money
Community, that the rate almost 100% on the Denial Scale.

The hard facts and the graphics will be in the UP-Dates, sent to those signed up, and my associates, today, so they will be NEWS you Can use by MONDAY.

I post this here, because this is where my loyalty is, and if you are on the Up-date List, you will have it FIRST.

> Whats in your wallet ?
> Whats on your List today ?

Ya'll fight nice, cause its all fun and games til someone loses an eye and then its sport.........


Friday, September 19, 2008

a wee look into the projection looking glass

I noticed on the boards some people very worried they could only get insight for a price. I'd have to say, Insight always comes at a price. Even if you didnt get what you wanted from an experience, EXPERIENCE is what you got, and it is a hard teacher.
Experience charges each person for what they get. Loose $ 25,000 US in a commodities contract, when thats half your capital, and see if you ever repeat those mistakes again. Get tied up in a brokerage bankruptcy for half a year and watch your profits erode as your account is frozen. Fail to heed 'smart' operating practices when you take a position and suffer the pain at your leisure. Life is full of pitfalls and snares for both the unwary and experienced. AWARENESS is the opposite of denial, and therefore your FRIEND.

Yesterday, I would have to ask, was the TREND, anyone's Friend? When did it end?

Not that I was moved by the pleadings of so many seeking 20 or 40 years in an instant, in this electronic age, but rather as a contribution, and an illustration that is both possible and likely that one can learn how to work within the system we have, I publish this little snippet of my proprietary indicator for the $XAU index
[ Phila Gold & Silver Index ][ which roughly tracks physical GOLD ] as it projects the next short while. My main concept here is to illustrate that what took place in July can often forshadow what happens in September, which is how this dandy little projector, VIRAL, provides for a number of commodity sectors. Your invited to observe it and perhaps next week check it against what actually happens. Your mileage may vary, in that the lead time is inexact by a factor, usually + / - 2 days, but thats as close as I have been able to observe it.

In any case, 'till we meet again, Happy Trails.


Thursday, September 18, 2008

SWAN LAKE ? DEADMAN's LAKE, Alphabet Soup?


Well you know how that goes, until the STAR sings………..and now the goldbugs are singing, full of delight at the revenge that is being visited upon the markets and evil manipulators………. Or could this be a market fluctuation. Or is this SWAN LAKE ?

Beings that this particular market gyration left its prints, like bears breaking out of hibernation do in the early spring snows, on my charts between July 7th and July 21st, it is hard to put this down to “manipulation”. As to who the STAR is, in this case, and whether she is singing about BLACK SWANS, or what I learned at Deadman Lake, about 115 airmiles NW of Fairbanks via Floatplane one summer, will be elucidated here, sometime.

I think the author of this particular song, could be named AlphaBet Soup. BOJ, BOC, BOE, ECB, FED, US TREAS, are but a few of the players. Don’t forget the orchestra playing the “ROTHCHILD TANGO” in the background as we all file into this opera performance.

It is my opinion that about one calendar quarter has elapsed since the usual suspects named executed their “co-ordination” program, for if I remember right that is when the anomalies surrounding the Swiss Franc surfaced. That was a nice ride, the Spread on the Currency Pair USD vs. Swiss Franc, and GBP vs. Swiss Franc. Not unlike bull riding as seldom could one hang onto a short term position more than the requisite 8 seconds [ 8 hours in the currency markets or thereabouts ]. And indeed the waves did make the minutes seem like hours.

Apparently what we have here is a failure to communicate, in that we could all see the signs, and feel the change in the pattern of the ground swells. Not too different than how the WW I flyers flew “by the seat of their pants”. Intuitive. Except that we are numbed-out being overwhelmed by the TORRENTS of TEXT.

Nelderand does a nice job of illustrating how it works, but to shorten it, the Powers That Be are playing INFLATION < - > DEFLATION ping pong with the markets hoping to keep either one from getting a good grip until they have all the lifeboats filled. AS YOU REMEMBER, there were three times as many passengers on the TITANIC as Lifeboats, and really nothing for all those is steerage. Not that it mattered, as those destined to survive, DID.

That you have a lifeboat is not as important as being in a position of safety. Aboard a lifeboat, provisioned and orderly away from the carnage was the safest spot, and is now, IMO, and therefore, reaping some profits here and stepping back will be the safest method to follow. An UPDATE will follow to those signed up before the Close of Business with as I trim and balance myself for the next gyration, and you will have time enuf to decide if you choose to do likewise.

Till then, Happy Trails, DG

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Were you dancing the "Rothchild Tango" to the

rattle of the M-60 machine guns today, as "they" decimated the market ?

Was this an "L" shaped ambush that caught all the unknowing in a withering cross-fire ??

I noticed how Joe mentioned that this was "textbook". I noticed how someone else

noted it was impossible to define or detect this situation because Technical Analysis

"couldnt work" under these circumstances. How true were either of these statements?

Anyone remember the "Hindenburg Omen" warnings this spring ? It really made me recall

the weeks preceding 911, when after going short the week ending 8/23/2001 on some

of the TA techniques in use by "S" [ a service I subscribed to back then, and

subsequently learned the basic's from which I evolved my indicators ], and then

I started to notice Insurance Companies, Oil Companies and Airlines behaving badly,

totally out of context with what "scripted" to be going on. Subsequent events

showed me exactly what was "wrong". Three thousand people dead, more casualties

than Pearl Harbor. Quite memorable, cause I remember everything about that day, and

the month thereafter. Today wasnt much different, except if you knew the tsunami

was coming, you were on high ground with enuf dry powder to get you through.

We had dry powder, and there were lots of fish stranded by this tsunami. Thats

why we had a stack of bushel baskets to fill. The week isnt over, but we still have

lots of bushel baskets left. The signs are all around you, the ultra low tides,

the sea birds, the fact that the crickets have gone silent, and the squirrels are

scolding the bear for all they are worth as they pad thru the forest towards their

next meal on unwary investor's bones.

The strongest groups gave NO ground today. The groups in neutral bouyancy last

week, turned up and began to swim upstream like salmon.

The real story is this is all laid out, by the technicals. Its dead reckoning at

its best - > the reason ? Because if you had a GPS they whom control it had

slowly been loosening the guidance parameters until they were off by a full

declination and degraded accuracy to + / - 10% instead of the usual 5 meteres.

Since we are in the middle of a magnetic storm in the Arctic, your compass turned

useless, spinning like a weathercock in gale. The only thing left was celestial

navigation, and if you were whited-out in a storm, only a good lead dog could get

you to safety. Trusting anyone but your team leader and yourself, Ended Badly.

The sad part ? It never had to be this way. Too many words, too much text,

too many gurus. Keep it Simple, Strong & Agile. "Agile, the HERD is NOT", but

you can be.

Sadly, I notice all the time, so many: " How far do you think it will go ?" "Where is the Bottom / Top ?" " When do you think the Top / Bottom will be ?".

From as best as I can tell, many feel uncomfortable unless someone agrees with them, and validates their reasoning.

Working on the premise that I am capable of logic, and understanding, I am very comfortable in my own research, in fact, so comfortable, that it makes some uncomfortable. I do like to know if someone more or less agrees with me, but has
arrived at that conclusion by a differnt methodology. The best I can do is go by
my TA and indicators. What I have found, is that if I can find the turning points, and be on the right side of that turn, then it makes it easier for me to pick the
next turn. I think the old proverb that I really like is : " A thing well bought,
is half sold.", meaning that if you enter right [ short or long ], then exiting profitably, [ short or long ] is much more likely.

If you will trust your intellect and intuition, and use them together, IMO, you wont have to be caught in the " L " shaped ambush.

Using some of the tools and techniques used in Rational TA, can turn days like this into a serious "READY ? SET ! GO ! ! ! " launch of you investment portfolio, where you can be Postive and GREEN on a week when the market tanks for 1000 points.

Whether it is the glacier-fed 2 Degree "C" Sheenjik River, bottom strewn with a hidden field of basketball sized and shaped boulders that threatens to turn and break your ankle 300 miles north of Fairbanks, and 50 miles from the closest human,
or a mother moose with ears laid back, nostrils flared and eyes red with rage, the right KNOWLEDGE is is the Right Stuff ! The wilderness of investments or the North
are equally dangerous without a guide, two or four legged. Our Summit Trend Alerts can be a trailhead, and a good start. The Summit Trend Letter is a trail guide and available through the website as are education, consulting, and instruction. We'll be glad to assist when you contact us.

Happy Trails, until we meet again,


Monday, September 15, 2008

Right out of "Apocolypse NOW"

I'd step out of my arctic entry about 7 AM getting ready to motor into town, and listen to the comforting rattle of the 7.62 X 51 MM rounds spitting out of the M-60 Machine guns on the Six Mile range. Later you'd hear the "whup", "whup" of the mortars, from our lads on Ft. Wainwright as they honed their skills. The 5.56 mm M-16's hardly registered because we were within 5 miles but the ground was flat and covered with black spruce and white birch.

Such a comforting feeling, yet to some, disconcerting. Thats what it felt like today. Merrill bought out last night by BOA, with its private access to the FED Window. LEHMAN left, like so much carrion for the dogs. Watching AIG auto insurance commercials, knowing they are tantamount to bankrupt. Knowing they are all walking dead. Zombies.

So what makes it comforting ? Having cash ? Knowing what sectors were gaining momentum as fortunes shift. Knowing how to do the "ROTHCHILD TANGO" ?

Maybe it is knowing the script, not feeling like we have to guess, watching the projections become manifest. Feeling like, not that we were in control but rather we had the ways and means to navigate this treacherous territory, the means to find food, clothing and shelter. The rest of this week will bring more seemingly terrible events, but if your prepared they wont be so terrible, just new opportunities you have been preparing for.

Maybe some "NEWS YOU CAN USE" would help. Getting on top of the curve rather than under it.



Update 9/06 released on Website.

Follow the website link on the right side hear if you want to see what the news you could have used last week was. Sign up if you want to get that news while you can still use it and it is still news.

I Publish it as "NEWS YOU CAN USE" because I was tired of : 1/ Hearing "Guru's" tell me what had ALREADY happened ; 2/ Listening to "Guru's" that it would "Go up if it didnt go down" ; 3/ And I was through with reading "Torrents of Text" and ending up more confused than before I started. No Promises, No Hurt Feelings, just the best, briefest, and quickest summation of what appears the most likely projections from my studies.

Good Luck Ya'll, and sign up if you like. Its free, even it does carry the occasional ad for services.


Saturday, September 13, 2008

Rip Tide

Sometimes you just feel like a little fish tossed about by colliding currents. Tidal Rip's are the angler's terminolgy where two currents meet in opposition and throw all former trending movements into seemingly unpredictable confusion. Woe betide the small fish in there, but BIG FISH love it, it is a buffet table full of treats.

Let see, Russia invades Georgia, and gold drops. China apparently cooperates with Paulson, and the plan, beginning right after July 4th, has the dollar rallying almost into Christmas of this year. The Aden Sisters publish what is easily interpreted as a bearish take on PM's, tantamount to throwing in the towel. The flow of investment capital into Russia STOPS. The Oil Bloc begins the tidal movement of money back into dollars.

Little fish here are running hither, thither and yon, trying to find safe heaven, cover or at least concealment. Seemingly a very confusing situation.

Here is where I think we stand. I think Gold has bottomed. I think the US Dollar and Gold, will rally here at least the Presidential Election. I think McCain wins.

Thats about all I think I can say here, for now. Typical of rip tides and bottoms, some of my instruments are spinning like a weathercock in a gale. Others are steadily pointing In-Trend. What I will say, is that I think the Aden call will result in the WhipSaw of the Decade. I prefer to stay attuned to the intermediate trend, as there is better per centage there in being on the correct side of trends either shortly they turn. Trend Following is ALWAYS WRONG at TURNS. ITs fun till then, but THE TREND IS NOT YOUR FRIEND AT THE END.

If you'd like a closer and more timely look at what I am doing, please sign up for our FREE Summit Trend Updates.

One last note - > You see I take NO paid advertising on my blog, BUT I do FEATURE
Kiva - > which I feel is a great way, thru micro-financing, to help others help themselves. Lacking a better way to say it, "there but for the grace of God, go I" is what I figure and I am glad and proud to sponsor them. Please visit their site, and see what they do. I lent thru them because I want to share, so please go take a look if you like.

Until we meet again, Happy Trails to you all,


Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Some days its just no fun, UNLESS

you got the Ace in the hole. In this case it'd be a map and compass.

"Dead reckoning" navigation is done by recognizing landmarks and the approximate distances between them. That is a far cry from the GPS Navigation. Even with a set of ranger beads and compass you could make a stab at it.

My observation of landmarks today will be the Relative Strength Studies I do weekly, trying to find which are the hills and which are the valley's.
In this I will list Groups in each Momentum Shift category, Positive and Negative.
My methodology is to choose groups where the shift is not drastic but subtle and continuing, hence the changes tend to work over time. Dissecting the sector for its strongest and weakest stocks can then yield candidates for all sorts of activities, dependent on your own style, and as always DYODD & DYOHW.

These groups in Alpahbetical order are:

Gaining Positive Momentum - > Computer Networking ; Glass Products ;

Protection/Safety ; Textiles - Apparel.

Gaining Negative Momentum - > Farm Machinery ; Metal Products & Fabrication ;

Medical Information Systems ; Paint & Related ;

Electric Power Utilities.

If I had to liken this to Land Navigation, I'd say the Trend Indicator would be the compass, the map would be the momentum group, and after some individual research, the individual issue selected would be the trail you follow. At that point you'd want to have some Technical Tools [ TA ] to help you on your journey.

Bon voyage,


Saturday, September 6, 2008

IS IT a BULL or is IT a BEAR

Simple, Quick Objectivity could help.

Usually the mind can only absorb what your butt can tolerate. Both ends go numb at the same time. Lotsa people told me that !! What is sadder, I learnt it for myself, just reading, reading, reading all everyone had to say. I learned lots, and came up with the "Tsunami of Text" [ TOT ] from the "Gathering of Guru’s" [ GOG ]. I ended up poorer and more tired than ever before, physicall, mentally, financially. I got sad, then mad, and realized that the answer was both within my reach and right before me. No " 'GOG' 'TOT' " could help me.

How did we get overwhelmed by the "GOG" and "TOT" ?
OK, one last acronym, please ?
How about T.A.P.? [ no, not Trans-Alaska-Pipeline ! ], but rather " Technical Analysis Paralysis" ?
Who can make a decision when one Respected Analyst who got it right last year is calling for a historic low, and Respected Analyst II who got it right the turn before that, is calling for a helluva bull run ? Not only did I go to bed with my eyes hurting and my head swimming, and my account whipsawed.

For me the answer is Simplicity. Measuring things. Not listening to what otherss say, but paying attention the MARKET DOES. Looking at the numbers. Watching the movements. Like sitting out in the woods and listening to what the squirrels and whiskey jacks were telling me. Watching the ravens try to show me which way they wanted me to go.
Here objectivity is accomplished by observation, contemplation, using the “Stillness” around you. ‘Stillness’ lets the realities percolate into our minds. Realities, plural, because life is full of uncertainties. Uncertainty brings along the need to plan. One uncertainty probably spawns a plan with two or more possibilities, and so forth…….for our reality can be feel like an elephant being examined by nine blind humans, each could come up with a differing ‘observation’ from their senses. Knowing this, you plan. The sort of thing that says, If ‘A’ is thru, then proceed, if ‘A ‘ is not true, then we go to ‘ B ‘ and examine that. Usually its an “Either / Or “ situation.

Back to Brevity. I remember working with Steve S. at a communication facility on the East Coast. His favorite fantasy opening, for difficult customers [ and only he would have the chutzpah to say it ! ] was : “Whats your beef, keep it BRIEF ! ? ?”
I learned from that to keep my observations and plans to one simple sentence each, the old K.I.S.S. Forumla [ Keep It Simple, Stupid ! ].

Simple, Quick, Easy. As many times as we have been marketed with those words, they are my model for Objectivity. No point in jumping thru all the hoops if it is so complex we forget where we started, what our objectives were, and The Rules, All those RULES.

K.I.S.S. me is all I can say.

The best thing I can say here is that Jim Sinclair has a good set of Strategy & Tactics, and some of my models contained elements of them before I even knew he had them.
PLAN ‘ A ‘ might be if it’s a BULL ; PLAN ‘ B ‘ might be if it’s a bear.

PLAN ‘ C ‘ might be if we cant tell.

Personally I like PLAN “ C “, because it’s a balancing act, which requires more work, but does not let you get out of whack, because you are always balancing. ITS WORK, that’s the reality……..

This week's Summit Trend Update will be filed 9/6/2008, later today.


Last week, this Summit Trend Update went out those on the sign up list:

” Below are included Issued from the AMEX, TSE & Venture Exchanges,
showing significant Upward Momentum. All issues are under $7.00.

WEL, GSX, Rubicon, Phoscan, GBN, Paladin and Metanor are well
known to me, and may be held long
in personal and Associate accounts.

In each and every case here, DYODD & DYOHW ! ! !

ANV Allied Neveda Gold AMEX 5.84
AZC Augusta Resources AMEX 4.89
ETQ Corriente Resources AMEX 4.15
GGR Geo Global Resources AMEX 3.98
GSX Gasco Energy, Inc. AMEX 2.63
ILE Isolagen, Inc. AMEX 1.34
WEL Boots and Coots Intl AMEX 3.05
XPO Express-1 AMEX 1.42

AGI.TO Almos TSE 6.08
ARI.TO Arius Research, Inc. TSE 2.42
BNK.TO Bankers Petroleum TSE 4.85
CLM.TO Consolidated Thompso TSE 6.06
ELR.TO Eastern Platinum Ltd. TSE 1.57
GBG.TO Great Basin Gold Ltd. TSE 2.74
ORA.TO Aura Minerals Inc TSE 1.34
PDN.TO Paladin Energy Ltd. TSE 5.28
RMX.TO Rubicon Minerals TSE 1.84

CNS.V Canoro Resources CDNX 0.75
FOS.V Phoscan Chemical CDNX 1.06
HAT.V Hathor Exploration CDNX 4.37
MTO.V Metanor Resources CDNX 0.6
NRS.V Norwood Resources CDNX 1.29
PIK.V Peak Gold Ltd. CDNX 0.81
RYD.V Ryland Oil Corp. CDNX 1.89
SLG.V Sterling Resources CDNX 2.28
TAS.V Terra Ventures Inc. CDNX 0.98
WZR.V WesternZagros CDNX 2.49

Your comments and feedback are solicited to:
Good Luck To All August 30, 9:30 AM Eastern Time”
Today another UPDATE WILL Go out to those on the sign-up list.

Monday, September 1, 2008

ROAD TRIP ! ! ! Labor Day Weekend ? ! ? ! ? !

While I was most interested to see XAU [ the metal ] move a wee bit, I tried to remember if Labor Day was celebrated in the Commonwealth Countries. No matter, NO, I am not daft taking a 12 hour road trip on Labor Day Weekend ! ! Simply one business associate told me that my long awaited prize was ready for pickup, and LABOR DAY is the only day I can get it done ! Sound familar >? ?

I publish that here, so that no one HAS to continue checking here for posts, other than daily. Much to the heartburn of a few who know me well, I really dont change my opinions about trends, reversals, top zones, bottom zones and the like until I weigh all the most timely available evidence in the most expeditious manner AT A SPECIFIC TIME. Therefore, the information in the Summit Trend Update issued 9:30 Sat 8/30/08, [to those whoms subscribe to it ]will be valid [ if dated some ] until I issue a NEW Summit Trend Update.

I tend to publish UPDATES as conditions change, and therefore, can most easily reach those who subscribe [ and receive my promotions also ]. Reports will be issued via the subscription also, again as they are produced, rather than upon a specific schedule.

My private indicators are computed weekly and issued to Associates and Indicator Subscribers immediately. Details on these services are about to be published on my website, which is listed in the links.

Please be safe and enjoy the fruits of your labors on this Labor Day Weekend.


Thursday, August 28, 2008


Subtlety IS the Market’s STRONG Suite. So many only ride upon and read the surface of this Market, as Ocean. It is strong, it is deep, and influenced by factors we never see.

What we see is the effect of this influences. Storm surges, tsunami’s, Neap Tides, new group being deposited, old islands disappearing.

Trends would be like ocean currents like the Gulf Stream, the Labrador Current, the Japan Current, and where they conflict and collide, it would be like Cape Horn, violent, dangerous and confusing.

If your sailing in such a storm, or vicious collision of tides or trends, there is little to do but insure your ships safety and move on. Observing tides and trends at a distance and getting the “Big Picture” is safe, but reveals the biggest ongoing trends. Where is the subtlety?

If you ever get tired of hearing “The Trend is Your FRIEND”, I have a paraphrase or two, the first of which is “The Trend is Your FRIEND, until the END.” Paraphrase #2 is
“The END of a Trend is Your FRIEND”.

To illustrate these points, I refer to some Momentum Shift Studies I completed this weekend. I usually generate two lists. One gaining Momentum, One losing Momentum.


AGRICULTURE ; AUTO PARTS ; FOOD , Dairy & Meat ; MACHINERY, Farm & Construction ; MINING, Gold, Silver, Copper; OIL ; and PAPER.



Now that is a confusing mix, but subtlety is there. Machinery of a nature is falling but yet MACHINERY for RE-Tooling is gaining. Can you see the INflation / DEflation battle is right there. GOLD MINING is tanking, and INSURANCE is ascending.

Those are some of the stories. Certainly this market reminds me of Sidney Sheldon’s book title “MASTER of the GAME”. I loved the movie, and will have to read the book again some time.

The Market IS MASTER OF THIS GAME !! But we get peeks and hints IF we know how and where to look. WE are always wrong when TRENDS BEGIN and TRENDS END. Finding the turning points is probably the most fun. Remember the concept of “neutral buoyancy” ? Early on in Astronaut development NASA sends their guys up in a C-130 Hercules Cargo Aircraft and puts into some porpoise roller coaster moves in order to create ZERO GRAVITY. If you could visualize how the planes path, up and down, you see just where the TRENDS begin and end……..Kinda reminds me of the old Lava Lamps with the different coloured fluids would rise and fall, seemingly on their own.

This concept of MOMENTUM SHIFTS is important in stock sectors since it is alledged that HALF a stocks move will be related to its sector, hot or cold. It is another way we can stack the odds in our favor.

Good Luck to All


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Containment of DOLLAR Rally

As I was picking thru my box of tools, I found one I liked, and then I tweaked it to give me a couple hints.

The First Hint I got was where the dashed blue line indicates a bottom level for the Dollar Rally to attain, and the Second Hint was the other graphic with another dashed blue line, which, IMO, will be the LIKELY ABSOLUTE TOP CONTAINMENT for this current dollar rally.

I dont think I have the chuzpah to call the price level where the DOLLAR RALLY will stop but I do have a good handle on a Date Window where a trend reversal will occur for the DOLLAR or The Anti-DOLLAR [ Gold ]. In the possible event they move both in synch with each other, I am thinking my Window on the turn date will be valid for the Ant-Dollar, more so, than the DOLLAR, but that will take a bit more time to figure out.
The Anti-DOLLAR [ GOLD ] might reverse BEFORE the DOLLAR RALLy hits the wall, and the two could once again move in synch for a while.

As to the unlikely nature of this situation, we have the DOLLAR breaking out of a DOUBLE TOP and into a BULLISH CATAPULT, so it forces me to objectively think out how this could end or continue. This is what I have come up with........



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Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Maybe Weimar, maybe Mini ?

Right now, I am, at various times, long the USD, or long gold, or some oil and nat gas stocks. Some other non-resource stocks beckon, but I am not too eager to jump in yet, both feet into ANYTHING. China, & the US Prez Election are having massive influence, INSIDE the major cycles, and they KNOW what they are doing, hence, IMO, the strength under this $ US DOLLAR run up. While I am not sure where it will stop, I have 87 as the total top target for the US Dollar. Should it run there t and stay there, it would put the GOLD bull market in suspension, but as far as I can see, the demands of the Billions of people in the developing world will force energy and food higher, so the complex of metals, from Iron to Moly to Gold, and Energy and Food will regress to the mean, which would mean the Bull Market in all those things would resume.

Know what a total planetary disaster getting into a deflationary stall-spin [ Death Spiral], would entail, EVERYONE on the PLANET wants to resume inflation. I think this deflation was a ballsy move on the part of TPTB to slow down the Weimar and make sure it only is a Mini-Weimar until they reconnect gold to currency at some FOUR DIGIT Dollar Conversion Figure. IF it goes to FIVE Figures its going to have been a FULL WEIMAR, and with MORE devastating consequences than if they can do it in the FOUR FIGURES. Essentially once it gets above the the INFLATION ADJUSTED BREAKEVEN @ a Given Date, then you can use the actual gold price to determine how bad or good things are. Given that other commodities are either in More or Less demand at that time, will tell you whether to be in Food, Fertilizer, Silver, Platinum, Moly, Water, Coal, Nat Gas, Oil, Solar, GeoThermal, or whatever.

We might dislike the monetary and governmental authorities for their hypocrisy and lies, but they in fact, will do both what they are ordered to, and what it takes to keep the wheels turning.

Given that fact, and that we all live on the same planet, to twist and paraphrase what Ben Franklin said, " We will have to hang in there with THEM, for in the END, if they fail, we might ALL be hung seperately but it will be of the SAME ROPE". Like it or not, our fates are similarly entwined with theirs, no matter what precautions we might have taken.
Should we have successfully [ in our own minds ] insulated ourselves from the fates of the masses, be assured it will only make our demise slightly later and slightly more the end we will suffer the same fate. Thats my view, and why I hope those in control, can do a controlled crash landing of this damaged Boeing 777 of a world economy with a minimum of damage.
Granted we might destroy ourselves with nuclear weapons, the chances of that drop, IMO, tremendously as Global economies positively effect Regional economies, aside from
Philosophical differences [ i.e. in the case of 'supposidly COMMUNIST China ] could cause a difference but IMO, they will be trumped by Financial Success.