Wednesday, May 24, 2017

"Can't you smell that smell" ?-Lynyrd Skynyrd


Yes close enuf to hell to smell it, cant you smell it ?

Welcome to HELL, or close to it as you can get without being incinerated.
  WELCOME TO PURGATORY, where all the unresolved issues make your life hellish.Purgatory GDXstyle.png

That is from May 5.  OK, now the latest:

What or why these boundaries are so located or effective remains an open subject, some would say an open secret.  Analysts by the bushel have journalled and enumerated beyond a reasonable doubt in my mind, the corralling of Precious Monetary Metals as a foil to the fiat money so detested.  OK so now we have that Unstoppable Force and Immovable Object issue going on.  Neither side is completely truthful, but both are partially true.
If you look at the beginning of 2016, the forces propelling Gold Stocks were Invincible for half  of the year.  Second half of the year, gave back half the gain and kept the other half after DOUBLING.  So, that was a healthy advance, kept 50% or more of the gain.  Now in 2017, the GDX dropped from 32 to 19 to bounce up to 26, and stuck it’s present triangle has retained 50% of that gain, so far, and is stuck with the top point of the trendline anchored in the Aug 2016 high and the bottom trendline anchored in the bounce off 19 on May of 2017.
Leaving us with the above Triangle, with about ONE Point UP of play, and ONE Point DOWN of play inside here.   The tip of the Triangle extends to Mid July, from which we have seen good and bad rallies, and maybe a decline or two to even it up statistically.

That leaves us trying to figure out WHOM is on FIRST.UpTrendRCM.png
So I have been taken to task over my use of a Gold Proxy, that actually delivers the metal, rather than paper, by people who have become seduced by the CRIMEX into accepting Paper in Place of GOLD.   HOW UPSIDE DOWN.  Fits right in with
“War is Peace”, “Freedom is Slavery” and the rest of the Orwellian script.  Right here, right now in 21st Century Global society.   Pure Goebbels, whodathunkit?

So now what ?    Well, pick out any statistic or index or chart you want.  The conclusion is straightforward.  Gold the unmovable object with 5,000 years of momentum as a monetary medium has been dented several times by the irresistible force of Fiat manipulations by sovereign governments with their power at stake.  The momentum under the Irresistible force is humans trying to retain power.   The momentum under the Gold is is Human Nature.  I’d have to say human nature wins.  Watch the Irresistible Force, lose its punch, not all at once but in its increasing inability to overwhelm the forces of nature under Gold.
   Meanwhile our subscribers will play in the waves of this rolling sea, playing the Up’s and  Down’s with an ever changing cast of ETF’s.  Certainly the GDXJ and JNUG debacle spooked many who would have liked to play but that trade was getting a bit crowded and bound to blow up somehow and it was a Perfect Storm when it broke.   Our group exited the month before, since we senses that it was overdue.  It was good for them.  

I have any number of charts and data to back up the fact that GOLD is the real thing, but I don't need the overkill.  If you have any questions, feel free to pose them to me in email, (I answer all my own email), and I will address them relevant to this article.

I invite you to sign up for The GOLDEN MEAN, calling turns in the Gold Stock ETF markets.  Backed up by our No-Questions-Refund during the first 30 days of your subscription, there is no subscription risk.   Since speculation is what we do, there are no guarantees, but then again, neither is there any honest guarantee in markets.  We do it simple, and that is what we do………...Good Luck.  DG

Friday, May 12, 2017

I Love? the aroma of schizophrenia in the morning.

Its coming and probably before Xmas this year, too.....
PAXEL anyone?  Or is that just for depression?  I’d say the market, EXCEPT the Precious Metals Sector, is NOT depressed.     However those of us watching this action get a distinct aroma of schizophrenia,  UP  ?   DOWN ?
And the guessing game goes forward.  War ?  No War ?  Peace ?  No Peace.

Yes sign up today so you dont miss this signal.  Signal yet?  Not yet?  Are we there YET ????

I'll be back with more info, but meantime, don't miss the signals.............

Information contained is for Instructional & educational purposes only. Investors are responsible for their own decisions & due diligence. Publisher or associates may have positions in these stocks Copyright 2016-2017 Denaliguide, DGS Publications,  all rights reserved.

Thursday, May 4, 2017

Gold Miner Stocks, Metal Proxies and Gold Bugs in Hades ? or just close

In a place called PURGATORY, hundreds of Gold Miner Stocks, and thousands of GoldBugz find themselves stranded today as the bodies of JNUG and GDXJ twist in the wind, as they wait to be cut down from the gallows of the GDX / GDXJ RE-Balance.

So that is GDX

Now on the Canadian Side

    And yet again the same issue exists on both sides of the US-CAN border.

 Just doesnt look as relief from this trading range contained in either of these
triangles, looks like it MUST resolve before Mid July.   It could resolve before that if the forces driving the sometimes linked prices of Spot Gold and the Indexes.   But we have seen those two items move eccentrically, and even in opposite directions many times.
     The moves of each are related but not in lockstep.   The Spot responds to the market for physical, where as the Indexes such as GDX, XGD.To, more relate to the demand for the shares.   The ruffles under the waves in shares, to me, reflect on the fact that there is long term demand for the shares, and that GoldBug inclined investors want the safety of ETF's, and in greater quantity, that if applied to the miner shares directly may boost them far beyond the proportion that the ETF's moved.   This will wash thru the system by the end of the summer I am guessing, figuring that for being a "Decent Interval".

So rather than try to sort this all out, per se, lets jump back to the Base from which we derive some of our other charts, GIMBO.  This is GIMBO yesterday:
                                                    WHAT WE ARE SEEING HERE IS:
     The graphic representation over time of the Advances mathematical edge over Declines in the Precious Metals Sectors, or deficit.  That's the jagged line in the middle panel, bisected by a 6 interval Exponential Moving Average.
                 Panel by Panel:   
       Top Panel, is CCI, which is like an acceleration pendulum like the kind that used to be used to trigger airbags in car collisions. It has crashed into the 
BASE-Ment, mean it can begin or has based.  That brown area indicates far over-extension to the downside.

     Middle Panel, shows the plurality of Precious Metals Miners stock advances, over the declines or the deficit there.  It helps us assess direction.

     Bottom Panel, is the Blue Bars of the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence, overlaid with the rate of acceleration in that MACD (default values).   All the solid lines represent the CHANGE in acceleration of the TREND.  Thus all that measures the underlying breadth in the STOCKS, are communicating the slowing down and ending of the Declines over Advances, this week as we watch.

    Translated into "HOW-2-MAKE-BUX", it means we are near the inflection point, for a potential uptrend.  Of course this feels like a batter in a baseball game having 2 strikes, and 3 balls, a full count from which something good or bad will come on the next pitch.  Or not.  Many times we've watched a batter intentionally and maddingly, continually( it seemed), to foul off pitches till he got the one he wanted to hit.  Its done.  As well, when  you think a market cannot do that any longer, you find out it can and your only refuge is patience and discipline.    Can you wait it out ?  Afraid to miss THE Signal?  Sign up.

Also sign up for your free monthly PICK from the Best of Peak Pix, when your on our mailing list, free every month.  Good Luck.  DG

Tuesday, April 25, 2017

J who? JUNG? NugJ, WHO ?

Much ado about nothing. ETF’s, that is.

Here are some  Exchange Traded Funds representing the Gold Miner Stocks contained in the GDX and XGD.To(Canadian) ETF’s, there are double leveraged as to the underlying ETF or Index.  Plenty of volume out there should you decide you want in.     Given all of this, these are representative and unlike the NUGT and JNUG series, are only Double Leveraged, which, has moved fast enuf for me.  Working this kind of trade requires both attention and nerve.HGDto.pngHGUto.pngGDXX.pngGDXS.png

, For those that this is not intense enuf for, there is still AGQ, and ZSL, Double Levered with Silver Metal,  HZU.To and HZD.To, the same in the Canadian Arena, and DGLD, and UGLD, with lots of volume in the METAL GOLD area, again Double Leveraged.   I guess if you must play with an ETF going into a Reverse Split 4::1, you can go with NUGT which is triple leveraged.

I entered a trade today for HGD.To, and closed it an hour and a half later, for  a 6% profit, feeling twitchy about leaving $$ on the table.  

Next, below,you can see the CLOSE of the GDX, a benchmark for many, and you can see it decisively penetrate the Triangle drawn by the Thin Green Lines, to the downside.   Lots of volume today.
Lots of volume, almost 130 Mil, not a record but plenty to represent the panic on-going in the entire sector since the great uncertainty of what may happen in rebalancing the GDX and the carnage in the Junior Golds.

Now go down the the nearest creek or lake and look at the bottom under the water.  Notice that nothing fundamentally has changed since you were last here.  Nothing despite the JNUG supposed fiasco.   What changed for the turkey I hit driving home yesterday, is he, she or it, is dead.  Thats it. The quick and the dead and the enduring.   Given that the turkey had no clue it was going to die, it just took off without looking, in front of my car.  You however, are different.  You know to look.  When you look, know what your looking at, the lake or the creek bottom.   Those items are NOT going to change, whereas the level of water flowing in or over them WILL.    What happens in this market is always a TIDAL change, being repeated over and over again.  You job, whether you are short or long, is to decide when the tide is flooding in or ebbing out.

What does the next SIGNAL LOOK like ?  It will take shape when our Private Indicative Measures entered an Overextended area from which MOVES launch, up or down.   We are transitioning into such an area now.
Subscribers will know when we launch our move.  Subscribe and move with us.

Thursday, April 20, 2017

Gold UP 1296 US, OOPS gold Down 1274, Oh Crude Up, Oh NO, Crude down

Not always a straight line !!
Do you have one of these ?
A CITI for Two Tails or Three Blind Mice?

   Well CITI might be a player but the Mice are represented pretty clearly.

Mouse #1,   ETF JNUG, VanEck GDXJ fund.   Gets cheese from;

Mouse #2, Miners in the GDXJ, past, present, and future, provide Cheese;

Mouse #3, Spot Gold price(the Cheese, here), driving price of Cheese.

All of which get their tails cut off by the Farmer’s Wife who manipulates the Gold Price and hence the price of the CHEESE.  They own the dairy.

Simply put, there is a not enough Cheese to go around.  Imagine for a moment, Montgomery Gentry’s  song “Daddy Won’t Sell the Farm”,  
see in your mind’s eye the run down dairy farm outside a major metro area such as the Boston to Washington Metroplex. Never ever in Ma & Pa’s wildest dreams will they supply cheese to this MetroPlex. Not even 1%   Soooo,
What we have here
“ a failure to communicate…”, the reality that Gold Equities are less than 0.15 % of the assets in just pension funds alone in the US.
JUST PENSION FUNDS !! Not even Investment Funds !!
Let that sink in. LESS than 1/7th of 1 % ! !  I’ll let Kevin Muir of The Macro Tourist’s Blog recent article help you digest that at his blog,

There is not enough cheese to go around even if it’s ground into little teeny tiny crumbs like Parmesan !!!

So if we take a scientific wild-assed-guess (SWAG), we do “back of the envelope”  math and figure there is about 23 grams of gold per person on the planet.  Check and see if you have yours.  No ? Ok then who has it ?  Very close to home and  you find out that sovereign entities have most of it under their legal control.   Now sad to say that includes both the ECB and the IMF.  But they are the tip of the iceberg.  In no particular order, Gold is held by Austria, China, Russia, Switzerland, Turkey, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, England(UK), Germany, India, France, USA, and Taiwan, in the name of their country(people).  But it all seems stuck in national treasuries, not part of the tangible wealth of their populations.   Only China and Turkey have encourage long term acquisition of Gold by the common people, and Turkey is suspect of considering calling all it can, into the national treasury.

Who has physical gold under their control?  Not The People, but rather the governments.   Who has control of the governments?  THEY control the GOLD, and are making sure it is NOT distributed amongst the populations of those countries.
Thus obtaining the Gold by exchanging it for fiat paper notes, and digital debt promises, those controlling the Govts, have managed to obtain the lion’s share of the physical gold and keep accumulating more.
As long as you play ball with the members of this club, you can keep your gold, but don’t do what Libya did and distribute it to your population and base a trade system on it.  That would disrupt the flow of gold into said govts, in trade for paper fiat notes and digital debt promises.  
That a No-No.  Big No-No, backed up by bullets and bombs.

Pretty easy to see why the Farmer and his Wife, the Bullion Bankers work with stealth, and determination to flim-flam the markets out of the physical gold by manipulating the physical price with paper contracts as long as they can.  Indeed one day, physical may rule, but only after we de-throne the Paper (Moon) trade(con-game).

Conclusion:  (at least mine)   The GDXJ dislocation and kerfuffle comes about because:  
   A/  People want a stake in Gold and Gold Equities;
B/ Manipulated prices for PHYSICAL Gold make it impossible for fair distribution for physical,  considering the propaganda war on gold, and
C/  Manipulated Gold prices make it impossible for enough companies to survive to supply the ETF’s with the stock needed to supply demand for the ETF shares.
Simple as A, B, C.  Follow the crumbs down the Yellow Brick Road, maybe you’ll find some cheese.   For a “Cheese-Detector” Sign UP !!

Good luck cheese hunting.